What to Know About Inflation in the USA

Updated: Apr 6


Inflation in the USA


Even as inflation hits a three-decade high and becomes a popular topic, trying to understand it can be a mind-bending task. Not all economists agree with the common explanations of inflation. Its aftereffects on society are nuanced. To help explain what it is, here's a guide to help you understand the basics, including how it is measured and the differences between positive and negative inflation.


How Inflation Works in the USA: Everything You Need to Know


When a currency loses purchasing power, prices increase, and the money is considered to be losing value. That phenomenon is called inflation, causing prices to rise.


How is inflation measured?


The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the most widely used gauge of inflation, measures the change in prices paid by consumers for a fixed basket of goods and services, such as apples, gasoline, rent and medical care. The CPI is one of the most closely watched statistics in economics and is used as a barometer of inflation. Inflation is measured as a percentage change in the CPI over time, also known as the rate of inflation.


What causes inflation?


Inflation results when an economy is operating above its production potential or full-employment level. For example, if the economy is running at full capacity with all available workers on the job, wages will increase as employers compete to attract scarce labour.


Other factors can include a rise in energy prices, a strengthening of the dollar against other currencies, and a rise in the cost of living along with a rise in asset prices. Inflation can also result from a situation in which the money supply is growing faster than the rate of growth in the economy, also known as monetary inflation.


How does this affect the value of money?


As the supply of money grows faster than the growth of the economic output, the purchasing power of the currency falls. People will try to hold onto their money instead of spending it, causing the supply of money to decrease and the demand to rise. As a result, prices will rise.


What are the symptoms of inflation?


Inflation reduces the purchasing power of the dollar and can lead to an increase in interest rates. For example, if inflation were running at 2 per cent, a $1,000 bond would only be worth approximately $970 after two years and approximately $938 after five years. There are several types of inflation, including demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation.


Demand-pull inflation occurs when an economy has excess demand and rising prices, generally caused by too much money chasing too few goods or services. Cost-push inflation occurs when prices rise because of higher production costs or rising costs of labour.


Is inflation "bad"?


Inflation is often seen as a bad thing because it erodes the value of money. Inflation can also have an impact on the purchasing power of wages and disposable income. However, inflation is not inherently a bad thing; it depends on what causes inflation.


For example, a little inflation can be a good thing because it allows the economy to grow without experiencing periods of deflation or falling prices. A little bit of inflation, known as "positive inflation," is generally not a concern for policymakers because it is modest and helps make the economy run smoothly.


The Difference Between Positive and Negative Inflation


When many people think of inflation, they think of rising prices along with a negatively affected economy. But some people distinguish between "positive inflation" and "negative inflation," which have different meanings.


What is positive inflation?


Positive inflation is a steady rise in prices that is caused by a shortage of goods, services and supplies. It is commonly called "cost-push inflation," which occurs when there is a persistent increase in the cost of production. When the supply of goods and services is insufficient to satisfy the demand, demand usually increases, causing prices to rise. When prices rise, the purchasing power of money falls. In this type of inflation, the purchasing power of money is steadily decreasing.


What is negative inflation?


Negative inflation occurs when prices fall, causing the purchasing power of money to increase. It is called "demand-pull inflation," which happens when there is a persistent lack of demand because of an increase in the supply of goods and services. This can be caused by an increase in the supply of currency, such as printing money to stimulate the economy.


Where is inflation headed right now?


The 12-month change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is on the upswing, with the latest data showing inflation at 2.1%. Inflation has been creeping up over the past few years as the economy improves, with prices rising at a rate of less than 1% from 2012 to 2017.


The uptick in prices is also a result of higher fuel and energy prices, as well as gas prices increasing by about 5.4% over the past 12 months. Housing prices have increased by around 4.8% during the year.


Inflation is still low, but it has been rising over the past few years and continues to do so. It is most likely on an upward trend and will continue to be monitored. While the price increases can be worrying, especially for those who are barely able to make ends meet, they also point to a strengthening economy.


How does inflation affect the poor?


Inflation has a disproportionate impact on the poor. For example, if the cost of groceries rises, the poor will spend a larger portion of their income on those goods. And if wages rise at the rate of inflation and prices rise faster, the poor will have less purchasing power than the rich.


What happens if there is too much inflation?


When prices are rising at a rapid rate, it's considered hyperinflation. When inflation rises above 50% per month, it's considered hyperinflation. The value of money is completely eroded, meaning people will have to resort to using other forms of payment, such as bartering and using other currencies.


Hyperinflation is a sign of a severe economic crisis, such as a currency crisis or a debt crisis. It is most common in countries with a fiat currency or paper money that has no intrinsic value.


Does inflation affect the stock market?


Inflation can have a profound impact on the stock market. For example, rising inflation can lead to higher interest rates and higher bond yields, which helps to attract investors to the stock market. When inflation is increasing, investors tend to move from bonds to stocks.


Inflation can also be beneficial to companies that have a lot of debt. As the value of the debt is adjusted for inflation during the term of the loan, companies will pay less in interest over time.


Can the government reduce inflation?


Inflation can be hard to control, but it can be reduced through government intervention. When a government experiences inflation, it reduces the money supply by raising taxes and reducing spending, which slows down the economy and can cause a recession.


The government can also use fiscal policy, or government actions that influence the economy, to reduce inflation. For example, if the government is worried about a rise in inflation, it may raise taxes on imports, which will make imported goods more expensive. This can help decrease inflation by impacting the availability of goods in the economy.


How much inflation is too much?


When inflation rises, it leads to higher interest rates and a strong stock market. However, when inflation becomes too high, it can have a negative impact on the economy. As inflation grows and the value of money declines, people will lose confidence in the economy and will be less likely to spend or invest.


On the contrary, some believe that inflation isn't bad for the economy and can be beneficial. When inflation is in check and runs below the target, it is often called "stable inflation." This type of inflation has a less severe impact on the economy, and investors are more likely to hold investments longer.


Is inflation only temporary?


Inflation can be a long-term problem, as you can see from the example of Venezuela and Zimbabwe. The inflation problems in these countries have prompted the government to print more money, which has led to hyperinflation.


Inflation can also be a short-term problem caused by an increase in the prices of certain goods, such as gas, or a short-term increase in the money supply. In this situation, inflation is not a concern because it is only a temporary problem that will correct itself. For example, inflation caused by a rise in oil prices is often temporary.


How can citizens protect themselves from the impacts of inflation?


While there is no way to control inflation, there are some ways to protect yourself from the negative effects:


1 - Set up an emergency fund.


This fund can be used for unplanned expenses like car repair or medical bills. It should be a liquid fund, accessible in the short-term and preferably in a savings or checking account.


2 - Find a low-cost savings account.


A savings account with a low-cost bank can shelter money from inflation over time. A saving account with compounded interest can help you build up your account over time.


3 - Invest in sound, undervalued assets.


This will help you make money as the value of these assets increases. This can include precious metals, real estate, and other hard assets.


4 - Consider inflation-adjusted bonds.


There are several types of bonds, including inflation-adjusted bonds, which pay interest that is adjusted for inflation. It is more common with U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), but it can also be found with municipal bonds.


5 - Take advantage of tax-advantaged accounts.


Many accounts offer tax benefits that help offset inflation. This includes 401(k) and IRA accounts, as well as 529 college savings plans.


6 - Consider homeownership.


Owning a home is a great way to offset the impact of rising prices. As the value of your home increases, you have an asset that can be used to offset the impact of inflation.


7 - Create a financial plan.


Figuring out your assets, liabilities, and goals will help you control your money and make the most of inflation.


8 - Invest in the future.


Inflation is bound to happen, but it is not something you can control. It is something that you can prepare for so that you can make the most of your money and your assets.


9 - Use an auto-hedging platform to protect your business


Inflation is a fact of life that you can't control, but as a business owner, you can protect yourself from the effects it can have on your business. With the help of an auto-hedging platform, you are able to protect your inventory purchases against the effects of inflation. By doing so, your business will be able to remain profitable.


How does auto-hedging work?


Auto-hedging is a way to protect your business from the negative effects of inflation. It's a system that adjusts your inventory purchases to offset the risk of inflation. It will automatically increase your inventory orders before you run out of your product, which will help you avoid losses when the price of your goods continues to rise.


Auto-hedging is an easy way to protect your business from the risk of inflation. It allows you to adjust your inventory purchases to protect you from price increases and keep you from losing money. Auto-hedging is a great option for business owners who want to protect their businesses from the negative effects of inflation.


Conclusion


The bottom line is that while inflation can be harmful, it is not necessarily a bad thing. It simply means that the purchasing power of the dollar is falling. As a result, people who have their money in the bank are losing purchasing power over time.


While inflation can be a scary thought, the economy is doing well, and the economy is expected to continue improving. Inflation is not something that can be controlled, but it is something that can be managed and prepared for.


If you're a business owner and you're interested in auto-hedging for your company, Use the Bound Platform! Bound is the auto hedging platform dedicated to making currency protection better for businesses.


hero-section-bg.png

Sign up to our Newsletter

Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest FX news, articles, product updates and resources, sent to your inbox weekly

Thanks for subscribing!

Want to know more? 
Preview the product demo now.

SEAMLESS INTEGRATIONS

Bound can integrate directly with your accounting platform.

Our integrations can enhance your existing tools to streamline the process and make manual hedging a thing of the past.

integration-pic.png
Snip20220301_12.png