What Are The Major FX Risks For Your Treasury in 2022?
Jul 12, 2022
If there is one thing corporate treasurers must have to achieve success, it is to have a reliable and effective risk management strategy in place. With so many different types of risks a company can face today that may and will hurt a business' finances, treasury experts must be aware of the possible issues and be ready for them.
That being said, one of the best ways to effectively manage risk is to understand the trends ongoing in the FX market and the significant FX risks that can occur as a result. Before we delve into that, however, let's talk more about FX risk management:
What Is FX Risk Management?
In short, FX risk management is the process of successfully managing all the risks that can arise when a company deals with a foreign currency.
There are many different types of risks, ranging from the political risk of a foreign nation deciding to devalue its currency to boost its economy and having to deal with the consequences of that devaluation to the risk that a company's foreign contractual partner may go into bankruptcy which will negatively affect the business.
When a company fails to properly manage its FX risks, it could end up with a lot of extra costs and expenses, not to mention the company's possible bankruptcy and its inability to pay its debts and obligations, with dire consequences for the business' shareholders and stakeholders.
Why Is FX Risk Management Important?
In order to ensure that these business outcomes do not happen, companies must take good care of their FX risks. While it can be difficult to predict future market outcomes, it is still possible to develop a strategy for effectively dealing with FX market risks. However, this strategy can only be successful if a company is well-informed and prepared for all possible outcomes.
This is why it's important for a company to build a strategy for risk management that can be used to properly deal with the main FX risks, the ones that have the most negative impact on a company's business.
What Objectives Are There For FX Risk Management?
While there isn't a single, definitive goal, due to the different business strategies and goals of different companies, one of the most common objectives of FX risk management is to improve the company's market position in the long term.
If a company can effectively manage its FX risks, it will save money and avoid incurring more expenses than it has to. This can lead to a more competitive position in the market for the company, which, in turn, will translate into more profits for the business. If the company does well, the shareholders, who own the company, will do well.
Another main goal of FX risk management is to keep the company in good standing with its creditors. This means that the company will continue to be able to borrow money from its creditors, which is, of course, a major goal of any business.
If a business can manage its FX risks well and it is successful in its long-term, strategic goals, then all of a sudden, the business has what it needs to pay back its creditors over time. This, in turn, will allow the company to further invest in business activities, hire more people, etc.
This is a very positive scenario for a business, and it is one that can be achieved only if a company has a proper risk management strategy in place.
What Are The Most Popular Uses For FX Risk Management?
A lot of businesses, especially those that are engaged in global trading and are not limited to operating in a single market, choose to develop a risk management strategy that will help them operate in multiple countries around the world.
If a company is actively operating in the global market, then it will most likely be dealing with multiple currencies, which means that dealing with foreign exchange risk is very likely.
Countries will react to their currencies in different ways, and they will also react to a company's business activities in their country differently.
Because of this, it becomes important for a company to have a risk management strategy that can address issues such as an economic decline in a country, the possibility of a government takeover, or simply a country's inevitable inflation, which can have a negative impact on a company's business operations and future.
What Are The Top FX Risk Management Trends?
Trading the Forex market, where all the largest and most liquid exchanges are based and where the majority of the FX market movements take place, is a very popular activity in the modern world. This means that a lot of companies from all over the world, from large corporations to small businesses, are now choosing to trade in the Forex market. This is good for the market, and it is good for the banks that operate in the market.
However, the larger the market gets, the higher the risk factors and the higher the risks that a company could face when trading in the Forex market.
While the potential for profits is still very high due to the size of the Forex market and the number of different currencies available, the risks are also high, so companies must be aware of them and make sure they have a working strategy.
What Are The Main Risks In The FX Market?
Now that we know what FX risk management is, it's time to see what exactly are the main risks that companies face when dealing with foreign currencies?
We can divide those risks into two main categories: those that have to do with the company's business and those that have to do with the country's national economy in which the company is operating.
Here is a list of a few main risks that a company can face through its operations:
1. Political Risk
Political risk is any risk related to a government's or an individual's decision-making process that may have a negative impact on business. This risk can influence the business in different ways, such as through the devaluation of the exchange rate of a currency or the reduction of the value of a company's property holdings abroad.
For example, when a country's national currency loses value, it can cause a devaluation in the currency of a company that operates in that country. This devaluation directly affects the company's profit and cash flow, and assets, as the value of the company's assets slows down, and prices go up, causing a decrease in the value of the firm.
It's also important to note that political risks can have a significant impact on a business that operates in a country with a completely different culture than its own. This risk can be so significant that an entire business can become non-viable, as it puts the company at a disadvantage when it comes to understanding and working with the local culture, customs, and practices.
2. Legal Risk
Legal risk is the risk that a foreign government may enact a law that will negatively affect a company's business. This can be a high-risk factor due to the fact that it's almost impossible to predict a law that hasn't been enacted yet, which can make it difficult to properly prepare for it.
Legal risks can vary in impact depending on the nature of the business activity and on the country in which the company is operating. For example, a retail business that operates in a country with a strong securities regulator will face more risks from legal risks than a retail business that operates in a country with a weak regulator.
In addition, there is also a risk that comes with working with foreign companies that operate in other countries - a company can become liable for a foreign company's legal violations, which can ultimately lead to complications with the local legal system and the business' risk exposure.
3. Economic Risk
Economic risk is any risk related to the economic situation in a country. This can be a risk if the country is facing an economic crisis or a high inflation rate because that can hurt the business' profits and its cash flow.
Economic risk can also be a factor if the country is under an economic embargo or trade restrictions that limit the ability of the business to import or export materials. For example, if a country bans the import of a certain type of materials in order to support local production, that could potentially cause the company to lose money and suffer from a lack of materials that could have contributed to more profit.
4. Exchange Rate Risk
Exchange rate risk is the risk that involves the possible unfavourable changes in exchange rates between a company's domestic currency and any other currency. This risk can be caused by the specific factors that influence the value of any given currency, such as inflation, monetary policies, and political instability.
For example, if a company has its profits in a different currency than the one in which it operates, it may face a risk that is a direct result of unfavourable movements in exchange rates. For example, if the company is based in the United States and operates in the UK, and if the US dollar suffers a large devaluation, then the profit that the company has in Euro becomes smaller, as the US dollar is now worthless.
Keep in mind that there are many other risks out there that a business can experience, so identifying them is vital to ensure risk management is effective and thorough.
How Do I Overcome FX Risks With Risk Management?
Companies face a lot of risks when they trade in the Forex market and work with foreign currencies. However, risk management can help companies reduce those risks.
When it comes to FX risk management and how companies can prepare themselves to deal with the risks that come with trading in the Forex market, there are a few key things that companies must do:
1. Monitor the Market
One of the most important things a company must do to reduce its risk is to monitor the market. This means that a company must always be aware of the market fluctuations and must always be able to react to them accordingly. Monitoring the market helps companies stay up to date with the latest news, learn more about specific countries, and learn more about the business environment.
Monitoring the market doesn't necessarily mean that a company must be trading in the Forex market all the time. In fact, most companies that deal in Forex are investing in it directly only a small amount of their budget, as they rely on other tools, such as the Foreign Exchange Trading system, to help them monitor the market and stay up to date.
2. Understand the Risks
It's also important to identify the risks that a company can face in the Forex market so that it can properly prepare for each one of them. For example, there are a few factors that can influence the exchange rate of a currency, such as the inflation rate, the national interest rates and the interest rates of the country, which companies should keep in mind and monitor closely.
This means that companies must pay attention to the national news, as well as the reports released by organisations like the World Bank, the IMF and other institutions that are related to the Forex market.
3. Develop a Strategy
Developing a proper strategy is very important, as it will define how a company will approach the Forex market. This strategy must be thorough, as it will help the company predict and understand how it can react to the market fluctuations and how it can approach risk management in an effective way.
A proper strategy can include different things, such as the types of tools that the company will use, the internal controls it will implement and the risk limits that the company sets. All these factors will help determine how a company will control its risks.
4. Have a Risk Management Plan
A risk management plan is another essential tool in Forex risk management. It defines all the different risks that a company may face and how it can choose the right tools and strategies to overcome each of them. This plan should also include a company's reaction plan in case a risk does occur, as it will help the company prepare itself for any potential challenges.
The Forex market is very volatile, and it's important that companies understand the risks that come with trading in it and dealing with foreign currencies. The risks can be divided into different categories, and a company must always monitor the Forex market to stay up to date while also developing a proper strategy that will help it address and overcome each risk. All in all, FX risk management is a must-have for any company that deals with different currencies. It can help minimise the risk of losing money due to the various risks present in the market, keeping a consistent and even positive result that you can be happy with.